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Discover IBA’s dynamic aviation market reports

IBA produces regular, detailed aviation market reports on numerous aspects of the industry. Combining the wealth of proprietary data and market intelligence from our IBA Insight and IBA NetZero platforms with the unique perspectives of our experts, our reports will help to drive your decision-making with clear, independent analysis.

 

Whether you're looking for an analysis on aircraft and engine values or a deep dive into the economics of a local market, our reports give you the insights you need.

 

Browse a selection of our market intelligence reports below.

75,000+

75,000+件以上の航空機とエンジンの価値にアクセス

3500万

年間3500万便の航空便を追跡

165,000

毎年12万件以上の航空機イベントを追加

500+

合計500年以上の専門的実績を持つチームによって管理

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Cargo Market Outlook

The eCommerce boom spurred by the Covid-19 pandemic brought about a new level of demand for air cargo, and the industry continues to face seismic shifts in the global air cargo landscape. Our award-winning team of analysts have published a detailed overview of the air cargo market, providing the latest intelligence on market dynamics, the impact of Covid-19, aviation and the environment, and a detailed operator analysis.

Download a sample or use the button below to purchase the full report.

 

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North America Market Report 2022

Our award-winning team of analysts have published a detailed overview of the North American commercial passenger market, providing the latest intelligence on market dynamics, the impact of Covid-19, aviation and the environment, and a detailed operator analysis. Download a sample or use the button below to purchase the full report.

 

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Aircraft Market Intelligence Reports

IBA's Aircraft Market Intelligence Reports blend our unbiased, independently verified IBA Insight data with IBA's expert advisory opinion on the global fleet, giving you best-in-class aviation intelligence. The reports are simple, comprehensive, and regularly updated to help you reveal prevailing and future trends for every commercial aircraft type.

Download our sample report on the A330-200 or click the button to find out more.

 

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Engine Values Book

IBAのEngine Values Bookは、航空会社、金融機関、リース会社、MRO、OEMメーカーに、世界のエンジン市場の現状に関する包括的な情報源を提供しています。

 

航空エンジンの中で最も多く取引されている33ファミリーの市場特性、関連する航空機タイプ、地理的範囲、オペレーターベースに関する情報を提供しています。本書には、一般的なオーバーホール平均費用や整備間隔、QEC（Quick Engine Change、急速エンジン交換）や寿命制限部品（LLP）の費用、各エンジンファミリーの最も人気のあるバリアントの価値やリース料金など、主要なメンテナンスデータが掲載されています。

 

IBAは、10年間にわたって最も人気のあるターボファン・エンジンの現在の市場、基準価値、予測価値を掲載しており、主要な耐空性改善通報（ADs）と各エンジンタイプの推定コスト影響を掲載しています。

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最新のインサイト

TEST
記事

TEST

Navigating the complexities of the aircraft engine market requires a nuanced understanding of evolving trends in both market values and lease rates. In this comprehensive overview for Q1 2024, we explore the dynamics shaping narrowbody, widebody, and regional aircraft engine segments.   From the surge in demand for new-generation engines like the LEAP-1A and GTF™ series to the resilience of regional turboprop engines amidst supply chain challenges, each segment offers unique insights into the aviation industry's current state and future trajectory.   Using aircraft engine data and intelligence from IBA Insight, we explore the different segments of the aircraft engine market to provide an analysis of their respective trajectories in terms of value and leasing dynamics. Narrowbody aircraft The dynamic landscape of narrowbody aircraft engines is shaped by evolving market values and lease rates, influenced by factors ranging from operational demand to regulatory directives. New generation engines   Source: IBA Insight   Source: IBA Insight   New generation aircraft engine series, including the CFM LEAP-1A and PW1100G (A320neo family), and CFM LEAP-1B (Boeing 737 MAX), are experiencing increased market values, as observed during IBA’s “Engines Explained” webinar. Specifically, the LEAP-1A and -1B saw notable growth over base values this year, attributed to list price escalations stemming from ongoing issues with new generation engines and heightened operator demand. Despite challenges such as groundings, the leasing market for PW1100G and CFM LEAP-1A engines remains robust, driven by operators' efforts to maintain their A320neo aircraft operations. While lease rates for both engines have surged in response to this demand, rates for the LEAP-1B have remained subdued due to its shorter time in service and  resulting lag for scheduled and unscheduled maintenance inductions. Current generation engines Source: IBA Insight   Source: IBA Insight   Market values for aircraft engines such as the CFM56-7B have increased up to 20%, driven primarily by shop visit demand, supply chain issues for newer generation engines, and the consequent move to extended aircraft and engine leases for current generation assets such as the Boeing 737-800 and Airbus A320-200.  Additionally, market values for the V2500-A5 turbofan model have risen, influenced by its  lower relative time on-wing than the CFM56 equivalents, and the impact of several recent Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Airworthiness Directives. In terms of lease rates, aviation data from IBA Insight indicates a recovery to pre-COVID levels, with lease extensions becoming common to minimise downtime. The V2500-A5 emerges as a long-term top performer in this category due to the aforementioned factors, while the CFM56-7B is presently the most in demand engine of the current generation. Widebody aircraft The widebody asset class is witnessing notable shifts in the market dynamics of both mature widebody aircraft engines and their new-generation counterparts. Despite the complexities, both segments are pivotal in shaping the future of aviation technology and market trends. Mature widebody engines Source: IBA Insight   Factors such as emerging freighter candidates, notably the A330-300P2F and the 777-300ER P2F, increase demand for specific engine types that cater to this aircraft. For A330ceo engine options, IBA’s engine valuations team has observed increases in adjustments to engine values, notably for the Rolls-Royce Trent 700 and GE Aerospace CF6-80E. Our engine market values have been recalibrated to mirror recent demand, evident in the relationship between base and market values from 2019 to 2024. The GE Aerospace GE90-115 is nearing its base value, following adjustments based on market feedback. Although engines in this family tend to incur high ownership costs, they remain the latest technology for their respective aircraft types. Delays in aircraft programs like the 777X accentuate the importance of engines like the GE90-115. New generation engines Source: IBA Insight   Confidence in the GE Aerospace GEnx-1B, which holds the dominant share for engine power on the 787, means favourable market values compared to the Trent 1000 engines. What we are seeing are durability concerns with the Trent 1000  resulting in subdued confidence from operators, as evidenced by Air New Zealand's order cancellations. Despite these challenges, new-generation aircraft engines are the optimum technology,  showing continual increases in market values. Regional aircraft engines A notable surge in demand has been observed in the turboprop engine market, particularly for the PW127M  and PW150A series, with IBA Insight’s aircraft engine values showing market values rebounding to levels exceeding those before the COVID-19 pandemic. Like narrowbody aircraft engine segment, this uptick is partly attributed to a scarcity of spare engine supply and ongoing production issues faced by Pratt & Whitney Canada, leading operators to rely heavily on the leasing market.   Some regional jet engine values  have not fully recovered from pre-COVID levels, with adjustments made to reflect cost escalations in the market. The CF34-8E5, which powers Embraer E170 and E175 aircraft, remains in demand, particularly in North America due to pilot scope clauses and market appeal supported by an existing order backlog in the region   Source: IBA Insight Source: IBA Insight   Looking ahead, market values for aircraft engines like the CF34-8E5 and CF34-8C5 are expected to remain strong, driven by this regional market demand  While challenges persist, particularly related to spare engine availability and ongoing technical issues, the regional aircraft engine market continues to evolve, with certain engine types experiencing recovery and others facing ongoing adjustments to market conditions.   Want to know more?   If you have any further questions, comments, or feedback, please get in touch.  

SW: April 24
記事

SW: April 24

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues are now seen as a key risk to aviation investments, and authorities worldwide are demanding more transparency and stricter reporting standards. It’s never been more important to understand the pathways to net zero emissions and their real-term impacts on all key players across the industry.   Each month, IBA’s ESG Consulting team share key insights and the latest news from the growing world of sustainable aviation.

Navigating Aviation Emissions Regulations
記事

Navigating Aviation Emissions Regulations

The aviation industry is undergoing significant regulatory changes to reduce carbon emissions and transition towards sustainability. In the ever-evolving landscape, three major directives stand out for their potential to shape the industry's future: the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) and Refuel EU.   These regulations, while complex, offer significant opportunities for the aviation sector to address its environmental impact and transition towards a more sustainable future. EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) From Cap-and-Trade to Carbon Cost   The EU ETS, a cornerstone of European environmental policy, operates on a cap-and-trade system, wherein airlines must surrender allowances for their carbon emissions. Over the years, the EU ETS has undergone gradual refinement to strengthen its effectiveness in curbing aviation carbon emissions. One notable development is the gradual reduction of allowances now equating to the right to emit one ton of CO2 annually. From 2026, airlines will face the full cost of emitting carbon, as free allowances taper down to zero on intra-EU flights where the cap has been steadily above 80% since 2012.   This shift is anticipated to impact airlines' bottom lines significantly, potentially leading to increased ticket prices. Morgan Stanley predicts a substantial rise in carbon costs, reaching €120 in 2027 and €135 per tonne by 2030. Additionally, there are ongoing discussions about including non-CO2 emissions in the ETS framework, which could further alter operational dynamics within the industry.   CORSIA A Global Offset Mandate   Designed to offset international flight emissions, CORSIA was developed under the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and sets baseline levels for emissions exceeding 85% of 2020 levels. While still in the voluntary phase, all regions have breached the baseline as of the start of this year. The mandatory phase of CORSIA is set to begin in 2027, with individual airlines becoming accountable for their emissions by 2030.   The convergence of CORSIA and EU ETS makes European carriers unique, facing heightened offset obligations. While CORSIA aims to create a unified approach to offsetting aviation emissions on a global scale, the EU ETS focuses specifically on regulating emissions within the European Union. This disparity of both frameworks may lead to increased costs for airlines operating within the EU, prompting questions about the distribution of financial burdens in the industry. Refuel EU Paving the Way for Sustainable Aviation Fuel   Part of the Fit for 55 package, and only just legislated in October 2023, Refuel EU’s primary goal is to address the EU's target of reducing net greenhouse gas emissions by at least 55% by 2030 under the three-strand regulation.   The first strand aims to reduce tankering by mandating 90% of yearly fuel must be picked up at an EU airport. This ensures that fuel is being picked up when required rather than at a cheaper price so airlines are not carrying extra weight by picking up cheaper fuel in countries outside of the EU.   The second strand of Refuel EU promotes sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) usage along with requirements for aviation fuel suppliers to blend 2% SAF and kerosene from 2025, increasing to 70% by 2050. IATA anticipates a surge in global SAF production, reaching 0.5% of global fuel consumption this year. For more on how SAF reduces aviation emissions and its viability, read here.   The third and final strand is the need for airports to develop the infrastructure needed to support SAF delivery detailed in the second strand. This is expected to be a major focus area for airlines this year.     The implementation of Refuel EU underscores a global shift towards sustainability, with significant progress observed in SAF production and distribution, particularly in the APAC region. Singapore has revealed its SAF blending objectives slated for implementation in 2026, alongside Airbus and Total Energy's collaboration to establish a sustainable hub in the country. Meanwhile, in Australia, LanzaJet has unveiled its partnership with Jet Zero, aiming to establish the first Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ) plant in the region, converting ethanol into SAF. Partnerships and agreements, such as those between IAG and Twelve, signal increasing momentum towards incorporating SAF into aviation operations. Towards Net Zero: A Collective Effort While these regulations mark significant strides towards achieving net-zero aviation emissions by 2050, challenges remain. The aviation industry must maintain momentum through sustained collaboration and innovation. This includes securing off-take agreements for SAF, investing in production infrastructure, and advocating for supportive government policies.   Crucially, achieving net-zero emissions requires collective action across all sectors of the industry. From major airlines to smaller carriers, everyone must play a role in driving sustainability initiatives forward. By embracing this collective responsibility and working in tandem with policymakers, energy suppliers, and financial institutions, the aviation sector can pave the way towards a greener future.  


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